01 Oct

New Polls: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina

The American Research Group released polls the three first states to vote for president in 2008 and notes Sen. Hillary Clinton leads in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. Support for John Edwards has slipped among Democrats in all three states, with a sharp drop in South Carolina.

More details and trends in the Democratic race: On the Republican side, Mitt Romney has lost ground in Iowa and New Hampshire, but he has gained ground in South Carolina. Sen. John McCain has bounced back in New Hampshire, where is he essentially tied with Romney and Rudy Giuliani.

In case you were wondering, there has been no impact to the entry of Alan Keyes in the three states.

More details and trends in the Republican race:

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31 Jul

New Polls: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina

American Research Group has released new polls from three early states in the 2008 presidential nominating race.

On the Democratic side, Sen. Hillary Clinton has lost ground to Sen. Barack Obama in New Hampshire and South Carolina as Obama has gained among male Democrats in both states. Clinton continues to lead Edwards among Democrats in Iowa, with Bill Richardson cutting into Edwards' support among Democrats and Richardson leading among independents in the state. These results suggest Obama benefited from the July 23 debate and its aftermath in New Hampshire and South Carolina.

On the Republican side, Mitt Romney has slipped in Iowa and New Hampshire and he is now essentially tied with Rudy Giuliani in those two states. In South Carolina, Giuliani is tied with Fred Thompson as John McCain has slipped into third place, giving up his lead among independents to Thompson.

Iowa:
  • Among Democrats, Clinton 30%, Edwards 21%, Obama 15%, Richardson 13%
  • Among Republicans, Giuliani 22%, Romney 21%, McCain 17%, Thompson 13%
New Hampshire:
  • Among Democrats, Obama 31%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 7%
  • Among Republicans, Giuliani 27%, Romney 26%, Thompson 13%, McCain 10%
South Carolina:
  • Among Democrats, Obama 33%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 18%
  • Among Republicans, Giuliani 28%, Thompson 27%, McCain 10%, Romney 7%

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29 May

New Polls: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina

A new batch of American Research Group polls give the edge to Sen. Hillary Clinton in all three early states of the 2008 presidential race. Sen. Barack Obama has slipped to third place behind John Edwards in each state, while Bill Richardson is up in Iowa and New Hampshire.
  • Iowa: Clinton 31%, Edwards 25%, Obama 11%, Richardson 8%
  • New Hampshire: Clinton 34%, Edwards 18%, Obama 15%, Richardson 9%
  • South Carolina: Clinton 34%, Edwards 30%, Obama 18%
On the Republican side, strong support from independents give John McCain a boost. And while Mitt Romney is doing well in Iowa, he's not making much progress in South Carolina.
  • Iowa: McCain 25%, Giuliani 23%, Romney 16%
  • New Hampshire: McCain 30%, Romney 23%, Giuliani 21%
  • South Carolina: McCain 32%, Giuliani 23%, Thompson 13%, Romney 10%

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