In another special roundup, we have the reactions of Bahrain’s bloggers to the events of the last few weeks, when rioting took place after the death of a demonstrator during a commemoration of ‘Martyrs’ Day’, and many were subsequently arrested.
So snugly bundled am I in my own little world that I was chastely unaware of the nasty border war that has broken out between partisans of Julie Christie (Away from Me) and Marion Cotillard (Edith Piaf in La Vie…
Miguel Centellas of Pronto* provides the latest polls in Bolivia, including approval rates for the president and prefects, as well as others related to the new Constitution.
Plan Colombia and Beyond reviews what took place in Colombia and Latin America in 2007.
For the first time all year, Sen. John McCain leads a national Rasmussen tracking poll for the Republican presidential nomination.
Nonetheless, his lead of 17% is not statistically significant since his rivals are all within the poll’s margin of error. Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are just a point behind at 16% and Rudy Giuliani is two points back at 15%. Slightly off the pace, but still within five points of McCain, is Fred Thompson at 12%.
In the hypothetical national primary, it’s a statistical tie among five candidates.
“You can’t nice these people to death. You’d better send somebody into that arena who’s ready.”
– John Edwards, quoted by the New York Times, referring how Sen. Barack Obama would deal with insurance companies and drug companies.
A new American Research Group poll in New Hampshire finds the Democratic presidential race tightening and the Republican race deadlocked.
Among Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads with 31% followed by Sen. Barack Obama at 27% and John Edwards at 21%. The poll has a margin of error of 4 points.
Key finding: Clinton has dropped 7 points in two weeks while Edwards has gained 6 points and Obama has gained 3 points. Undeclared voters provide positive playback for Edwards based on his television advertising running in New Hampshire and this is reflected in the ballot results. Edwards now leads Obama among undeclared voters 38% to 23%.
In the Republican race, Mitt Romney and Sen. John McCain remain tied at 30%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 11%, Rudy Giuliani at 9% and Rep. Ron Paul at 7%.
Jay Rosen’s current essay demonstrates one of my central contentions about complaints of liberal or conservative bias in the news media:…
A new McClatchy-MSNBC poll in Iowa shows a statistical dead heat in the Democratic presidential race and a big shift in the Republican race.
John Edwards leads with 24%, followed by Sen. Hillary Clinton with 23% and Sen. Barack Obama with 22%. Edwards has the momentum since the last poll in early December gaining 3 points, while Clinton lost 4 points and Obama lost 3 points.
Key finding: Mirroring other surveys, Edwards gets the most second-choice support. When Richardson, Biden, Dodd, and Kucinich supporters are realigned, the poll has Edwards leading with 36%, followed by Obama and Clinton tied at 26%.
Among Republicans, Mitt Romney has regained the lead as Mike Huckabee “has lost momentum and support, even among evangelical Christians who had propelled him into the top spot just weeks ago.” Romney now leads with 27%, followed by Huckabee at 23%, Fred Thompson at 14%, and Sen. John McCain at 13%. Huckabee is down 8 points since earlier this month, while Romney is up 7 points.
Complete survey results are available for Democrats and Republicans.
The first Reuters/C-Span/Zogby tracking poll in Iowa is out this morning and confirms the findings of several polls last week that show an extremely tight presidential race for both Democrats and Republicans. The telephone poll was conducted 12/26 thru 12/29.
On the Democratic side, there is a three-way statistical tie with Sen. Hillary Clinton leading with 30.7% support, followed by Sen. Barack Obama at 26.8% and John Edwards at 24.2%. The poll’s margin of error is 3.3%.
Key finding: Edwards is the clear second choice favorite with 30.4%, followed by Obama at 24.9% and Clinton at 12.2%. According to Democratic caucus rules, candidates who receive less than 15% of the vote are considered
“non-viable.” Their backers have the choice of either going home or
casting their ballots for their second choice.
On the Republican side, there is also a tie for first place. Mike Huckabee leads with 27.7%, followed by Mitt Romney at 26.6%, Sen. John McCain at 10.9%, Fred Thompson at 7.8% and Rudy Giuliani at 7.3%. The poll’s margin of error is 3.4%.
One interesting finding: Democrats think Republicans will choose Huckabee as their nominee; Republicans think Democrats will choose Obama.
Special offer: Subscribers to the tracking poll will get daily updates until the Iowa caucuses as well as daily results from New Hampshite.
